AGI Has Arrived, But It’s Just Barely Competent
Jensen Huang says AGI is here. Gary Marcus says prove it. Forrester just did—with four-stage framework showing we've barely crossed into 'competent AGI.'
Why it matters
A major research firm has published a formal definition and staged framework for AGI that moves the debate from rhetoric to measurable criteria. This gives practitioners and labs a shared language for evaluating whether frontier models have actually achieved AGI-level competence.
The key facts
11 to knowForrester published AGI definition and four-stage framework in August 2025
Jensen Huang (Nvidia) declared AGI arrival on September 6
Gary Marcus disputed the claim, citing lack of evidence and definition
Framework stages AGI progress; frontier models now at Stage 1: 'competent AGI'
Published September 10, 2026
Source: Forrester Research (analyst firm with credibility in enterprise AI evaluation)
Jensen Huang declared AGI arrival on September 6
Gary Marcus disputed the claim without evidence
Forrester published AGI capability framework in August 2025
Frontier models classified as 'competent AGI' — first of four stages
Definition-driven assessment of capability milestone
Go to the source
Forrester Blogforrester.com
Publisher excerpt: On September 6, Jensen Huang declared that AGI has arrived. Hours later, Gary Marcus answered that there was no evidence and no definition behind the claim. Both men are arguing without criteria. We published ours in August 2025, and by that yardstick, the frontier just crossed into competent AGI,…