FrontierSeptember 10, 2026via Forrester Blog
AGI Has Arrived, But It’s Just Barely Competent
Why it matters
A major research firm has published a formal definition and staged framework for AGI that moves the debate from rhetoric to measurable criteria. This gives practitioners and labs a shared language for evaluating whether frontier models have actually achieved AGI-level competence.
Key signals
- Forrester published AGI definition and four-stage framework in August 2025
- Jensen Huang (Nvidia) declared AGI arrival on September 6
- Gary Marcus disputed the claim, citing lack of evidence and definition
- Framework stages AGI progress; frontier models now at Stage 1: 'competent AGI'
- Published September 10, 2026
- Source: Forrester Research (analyst firm with credibility in enterprise AI evaluation)
- Jensen Huang declared AGI arrival on September 6
- Gary Marcus disputed the claim without evidence
- Forrester published AGI capability framework in August 2025
- Frontier models classified as 'competent AGI' — first of four stages
- Definition-driven assessment of capability milestone
The hook
Jensen Huang says AGI is here. Gary Marcus says prove it. Forrester just did—with four-stage framework showing we've barely crossed into 'competent AGI.'
On September 6, Jensen Huang declared that AGI has arrived. Hours later, Gary Marcus answered that there was no evidence and no definition behind the claim. Both men are arguing without criteria. We published ours in August 2025, and by that yardstick, the frontier just crossed into competent AGI, t…