ChipsThe story, in brief

AI performance costs are falling faster than those of any previous technology

13x per year. That's how fast AI performance costs are collapsing—outpacing every technology that came before it.

Paper-cut illustration of an amber microchip with circuit paths extending into a row of data-center cabinets.
The infrastructure powering AI.AI illustration by KeyNews
The KeyNews take

Why it matters

As algorithmic efficiency gains compound with hardware improvements and competition, the cost-per-fixed-benchmark is plummeting. This reshapes cloud economics, on-prem ROI calculations, and which models teams can afford to deploy at scale.

The key facts

4 to know
  1. Epoch AI: 13x annual price decline for fixed benchmark performance

  2. MIT: 3x annual algorithmic progress after removing hardware and competition gains

  3. Reasoning models cost more per task due to higher compute requirements

  4. Price and performance no longer track together; quality, speed, error rate now drive model selection

Go to the source

The Decoderthe-decoder.com

Publisher excerpt: AI is hitting a fixed benchmark performance level at a rapidly falling cost. Epoch AI measures a price decline of about 13x per year. After stripping out hardware gains and competition, MIT puts annual algorithmic progress at about 3x. That doesn't mean today's best models are cheaper, though.…
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