Anthropic scientist puts the odds of AI destroying humanity above ten percent this decade
Anthropic researcher Evan Hubinger puts odds of AI-caused human extinction above 10% this decade—and a former pretraining scientist just quit over extinction risk.
Why it matters
A senior AI safety researcher at a frontier lab is publicly stating extreme-tail-risk odds, while a colleague departs citing existential risk concerns. This is a people move + safety commentary with policy/societal implications that practitioners and AI-policy watchers will debate.
The key facts
7 to knowEvan Hubinger (Anthropic): >10% probability of misaligned superintelligent AI causing human extinction within this decade
Jacob Coxon: former pretraining researcher at OpenAI and Anthropic, quit citing extinction risk concerns
Coxon accuses both OpenAI and Anthropic of knowingly risking human extinction
Published September 9, 2026
Evan Hubinger (Anthropic) estimates >10% probability of misaligned superintelligent AI causing human extinction within this decade
Jacob Coxon (former pretraining researcher at OpenAI and Anthropic) has quit, accusing both companies of knowingly risking human extinction
Published 2026-09-09
Go to the source
The Decoderthe-decoder.com
Publisher excerpt: Jacob Coxon, a former pretraining researcher at OpenAI and Anthropic, has quit and accuses both companies of knowingly risking human extinction. Anthropic colleague Evan Hubinger puts the odds of a misaligned superintelligent AI wiping out humanity within the next decade at more than ten percent.