FrontierThe story, in brief

DeepSeek enters the fight for token volume, Anthropic continues to dominate spend

17%. That's how much token share DeepSeek V4 captured in a single month—without taking a dime from Anthropic's spend dominance.

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The KeyNews take

Why it matters

DeepSeek V4's aggressive pricing ($0.14/$0.28 vs. Anthropic's $2-5 range) has fractured the AI market into a two-tier system: cheap, capable models for volume work and frontier models for high-stakes tasks. This signals a fundamental shift in how teams architect production AI—and where AI lab revenue actually comes from.

The key facts

11 to know
  1. DeepSeek V4 jumped from <1% to 17% token share in one month (April to May 2026)

  2. DeepSeek V4 Flash priced at $0.14 input / $0.28 output per million tokens (20-50x cheaper than Anthropic, 8-12x cheaper than Qwen/Kimi)

  3. Despite 17% token share, DeepSeek captured only ~1% of spend

  4. Anthropic grew spend share from 61% to 65% and holds 70-80% across high-stakes use cases

  5. OpenAI token share flat at 13%, but customers paying more per token (spend share 12% to 13%)

  6. Total AI Gateway tokens grew +20% MoM; total spend grew +43% MoM

  7. Average token cost increased ~20% despite DeepSeek's low-cost entry

  8. Tool-call requests carry >50% of tokens despite being <25% of requests

  9. Gemini 3.5 Flash adoption stalled (only 7% of Flash family) vs. rapid 3.1 Pro migration

  10. B2B applications cost 60% more per token than B2C

  11. Apps handling 1M+ requests use 11+ models in production; lowest-volume tier dominated by single-model setups

Go to the source

Vercel Blogvercel.com

Publisher excerpt: Every month, routes tens of trillions of tokens between production applications and AI labs, giving us visibility into what AI usage actually looks like, separate from leaderboards and benchmarks. We publish the data monthly in the AI Gateway production index. AI Gateway Last month, headlines about…
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