Import AI 445: Timing superintelligence; AIs solve frontier math proofs; a new ML research benchmark
Will 2026 be the year we had to choose? One researcher says decisions made right now determine if superintelligence arrives in 5 years or 50.

Why it matters
This is forward-looking analysis on AI timeline acceleration and the critical decision point leaders face in 2026 around superintelligence development—directly shaping investment and R&D strategy.
The key facts
4 to know2026 positioned as pivotal year for superintelligence timeline decisions
AI systems achieving breakthroughs in frontier mathematics proofs
New ML research benchmark introduced for capability measurement
Timing of singularity emergence tied to decisions being made now
Go to the source
Import AI (Jack Clark)importai.substack.com
Publisher excerpt: Will 2026 be looked back on as the pivotal year for making decisions about the singularity?