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Import AI 445: Timing superintelligence; AIs solve frontier math proofs; a new ML research benchmark

Will 2026 be the year we had to choose? One researcher says decisions made right now determine if superintelligence arrives in 5 years or 50.

Illustration of a transparent lens revealing connected networks across layers of paper.
Exploring the next frontier of AI research.AI illustration by KeyNews
The KeyNews take

Why it matters

This is forward-looking analysis on AI timeline acceleration and the critical decision point leaders face in 2026 around superintelligence development—directly shaping investment and R&D strategy.

The key facts

4 to know
  1. 2026 positioned as pivotal year for superintelligence timeline decisions

  2. AI systems achieving breakthroughs in frontier mathematics proofs

  3. New ML research benchmark introduced for capability measurement

  4. Timing of singularity emergence tied to decisions being made now

Go to the source

Import AI (Jack Clark)importai.substack.com

Publisher excerpt: Will 2026 be looked back on as the pivotal year for making decisions about the singularity?
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