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NYU finance professor Damodaran warns an AI crash could hit harder than the dot-com bust

An AI crash could dwarf the dot-com bust. Here's why a NYU finance professor thinks the wreckage will be worse.

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The KeyNews take

Why it matters

As AI capex spending reaches historic levels, a leading finance academic warns that massive debt-financed infrastructure creates systemic risk far exceeding the 2000 bubble—and even success poses societal challenges around job displacement.

The key facts

4 to know
  1. Aswath Damodaran (NYU finance professor) predicts AI crash would be worse than dot-com bubble

  2. Key risk factor: debt-financed physical infrastructure (not lightweight software like dot-com era)

  3. Even successful AI creates problem: business model centers on job replacement with unclear societal consequences

  4. Published June 2026 — reflects current capex and infrastructure cycle concerns

Go to the source

The Decoderthe-decoder.com

Publisher excerpt: NYU finance professor Aswath Damodaran believes a potential AI crash would be more painful than the bursting of the dot-com bubble because the industry is building massive amounts of debt-financed physical infrastructure rather than lightweight software. Even if AI succeeds, he sees a problem. The…
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